Forgive the pedantry for a moment : the dictionary defines
" correlation " as the degree to which two or more attributes or
measurements on the same group of elements show a tendency to vary
together . ( Webster's College Dictionary )
Again and again in the HEALTH NEWS , I encounter this
flaw in logical reasoning : a statistical correlation is established
-for example between church going and longevity or in today's news,
between - of all things ! - beer drinking and a health heart. Then
the naive scientifically illiterate assumes that medical science has
advanced in real knowledge.
Common sense would caution doctors against telling the
public that an ADDICTIVE substance- like beer or wine - is good for
them in " moderate " quantities. My own experience is that this sort
of pseudo-science will only reinforce problem drinking : " If a little
of the stuff is good , then more must be better ! "
.
I'll bet a strong statistical correlation can be established
between people with cancer who visit Elvis Presley's Graceland mansion
and the percentage among them of MIRACLE CURES - a correlation that
would put the famous Fatima to shame !
What about a statistical correlation between work as a
newspaper editor and stomach ulcers ?
Or between being left-handed ( sinister in Latin ) and
being a serial killer ?
Unless you know the CAUSE of a phenomenon, a statistical
correlation only suggests further investigation.
Now I need a nice cold beer. Good for heart, you know.
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Ron